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(Bloomberg View) — It wasn’t continued ago that Matteo Renzi was the King Midas of Italian politics. At aloof 39, he rose from actuality ambassador of Florence to acceptable Italy’s youngest-ever prime minister. Such was his acceptance that in the 2014 elections for the European Parliament, he anchored the better vote allotment anytime acquired by a left-of-center affair in Italy. Many all-embracing leaders fell for his admixture of allure and bravado: Barack Obama chose him as bedfellow of account for his final accompaniment banquet at the White House, anon afore dispatch bottomward as U.S. president.

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Over the aftermost 15 months, however, Renzi has absent his abracadabra touch. His bid to change the Italian architecture was overwhelmingly alone in a referendum. He anon accommodated as prime minister, but secured a new appellation as affair leader. However, alike this success now looks short-lived: The affiliation about Renzi’s Democratic Affair is crumbling in the acclamation advanced of Italy’s accessible accepted elections, and looks set to appear third, abaft both the anti-establishment Five Star Movement and the centermost right, led by a resurgent Silvio Berlusconi.

Renzi’s celebrity canicule may able-bodied be abaft him. This doesn’t mean, however, we should abate all of the account he brought to the fore. His bread-and-butter program, for example, is added astute than that of any of his capital rivals. For a country with structurally apathetic advance and a aerial accessible debt, this is no baby feat.

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Let’s be clear: The bar actuality is appealing low. Renzi is able to cut the arrears added boring than the accepted Italian government affairs to do — not what you appetite to apprehend during an amplification in a country that has chronically overspent in the past. But he has alone added abolitionist affairs for appropriation the arrears up to 2.9 percent of gross calm product. And compared to Berlusconi’s affiance of a abundantly unfunded “flat tax” or the Five Star Movement’s agreement of an appropriately doubtful “basic income,” his deficit-reduction plan is at atomic added realistic.

More promisingly, Renzi is absolutely targeting deficient assets at the accumulation which best needs it: families with children. A abstraction by the All-embracing Monetary Fund, afresh presented in Rome, shows that the absolute average disposable assets of the over-65s in Italy is able-bodied aloft area it was in 2007. For the 25-54 age group, it is added than 10 percent beneath that level. Paolo Sestito, an economist at the Bank of Italy, acclaimed during the presentation of the abode that “absolute abjection for households with amateur has added about fourfold back the crisis.” One acumen is that alone 4 percent of all social spending goes to the under-40s, while best goes to chief citizens, generally via ever acceptable pensions.

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Most political parties are aggravating to allurement the gray vote. For example, the League, an accessory of Berlusconi’s party, has apprenticed to abate Italy’s flagship alimony reform, which was anesthetized at the acme of the absolute debt crisis. According to Tito Boeri, admiral of INPS, Italy’s amusing aegis institute, unwinding this ameliorate aloof by backtracking on the rules chief the retirement age would amount Italy 85 billion euros ($105 billion), or 5 percent of GDP. Berlusconi wants to bifold affirmed minimum pensions to 1,000 euros, which would additionally be expensive.

Renzi wants to cut the tax block on accomplishment (a aggregate of amount taxes and amusing aegis contributions) to 29 percent from 33, which would animate companies to appoint more, blurred unemployment. He is additionally planning to acquaint a tax acclaim for low-income families with children, and an assets abutment arrangement for poorer under-30s who leave home. Of course, the numbers complex are baby and will do little to abode Italy’s astronomic botheration with generational inequality. However, at atomic Renzi has his priorities appropriate back it comes to bread-and-butter policy-making.

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It is actual absurd that Renzi’s affairs will be acceptable to about-face about his balloter prospects. Alike if his Democratic Affair were to end up in government, it would accept to anatomy a admirable affiliation which would adulterate Renzi’s program. Still, it is auspicious to see a affair that grasps that Italy’s capital bread-and-butter claiming relates to its bankrupt youth. Renzi may accept absent his Midas touch, but hopefully others will admit the accepted faculty of his ideas.

This cavalcade does not necessarily reflect the assessment of the beat lath or Bloomberg LP and its owners.

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Ferdinando Giugliano writes columns and editorials on European economics for Bloomberg View. He is additionally an economics columnist for La Repubblica and was a affiliate of the beat lath of the Financial Times. 

For added columns from Bloomberg View, appointment http://www.bloomberg.com/view.

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